An exit any time before the World Cup quarter-finals is considered to be a failure these days for England – and even in 2006 when they got that far only to lose on penalties, then-manager Sven-Goran Eriksson left on his own accord. More often than not, at the end of a tournament there will be a betting race and a surge to check next manager odds.
What You Need To Know When Betting On Next England Manager Choices
Over the years, odds for the England role have tended to centre around the best available managers who happen to be English, usually those already attached to Premier League clubs.
Another group who tend to be heavily backed in any next England manager poll will usually involve whoever is the assistant to the current manager, and anyone who has been in an FA coaching role recently. Transitions to assistant Steve McLaren after Eriksson resigned, and to Under-21 boss Gareth Southgate after the departure of Sam Allardyce in 2016 are recent examples of this move.
There will also usually be a name or two in the running who have never had a managerial job before – these can usually be ignored as they tend to represent a high-risk appointment, which the FA is typically reluctant to pursue. However, if a groundswell of support gathers for such a manager, they may be worth a small speculative bet.
All details: background information on this topic
One thing to note when it comes to predicting who will take over after an England manager departs is that the person who takes the job is rarely the bookies’ favourite at the beginning. After Fabio Capello’s resignation in 2012, public demand and press voices held up Harry Redknapp as the obvious choice, but the job went to Roy Hodgson.
Picking the best bookmaker for next England manager betting is a matter of comparing the different bookies, and seeing who seems to be offering the most generous odds. Ideally they will have given the “favourite” tag to a fan favourite or someone whose best days are behind them – the FA rarely choose along those lines and neither should you, when betting.
Likely candidates instead tend to have the following characteristics:
Past – successful – managerial experience in the top division of a major league, preferably the English Premier League.
An uncontroversial reputation: the FA’s fear of controversy is felt to have been the reason for reluctance to give the job to a scandal-mired Redknapp.
Someone who has overachieved with a modest club. McLaren moved into the England job having taken Middlesbrough to a European final. Allardyce initially built his reputation with Bolton Wanderers.
Realistically, someone English. For a while, though, the name of Northern Irishman Martin O’Neill came up every time the England job was going due to his achievements with Leicester City and Celtic, but he was never approached.
If the bookies have someone without at least two of the above characteristics as favourite, you should bet on someone with longer odds but stronger credentials.
Where To Find Value When Betting On Next England Manager
The next England manager market is one of the tougher ones to predict – the FA are not prone to going with the obvious favourite and they rarely give much away prior to announcing a new manager. As such, betting on the market is often more a case of speculation than backing a certainty. It may well be the ideal time to use a free bet, so even if you have a betting account, opening another to take advantage of the bonus bet or a promo code is a good idea.
You will find that if the job is not open, odds on the next manager are hard to come by. The moment an England manager steps down or is asked to leave his post, however, the markets will open and you’ll find a long list of possible candidates. As mentioned above, you’re unlikely to find value betting on the favourite.
Similarly, while a left-field name could end up in the job, it’s highly unlikely that anyone beyond 20/1 at the start of betting will get it. While you might pick up a win betting on an outsider in the next Crystal Palace manager odds, national teams play fewer games than clubs, stakes are higher and they need to be more cautious when appointing. You should always pick an option from the “in-between” names.
What To Look For From Bookmakers Offering Next Manager Odds
It can be tricky to find value in the next England manager odds market; odds are only offered when there is a vacancy or it is felt that one is imminent. So if there is an England manager in situ and he’s doing well enough, it could be a few years before any decent betting deals open. In this case, it may be best to focus on the far more frequent odds for the next manager of a specific club – at any given time, there is likely to be a vacancy at a Premier League or Championship club. If there isn’t right now, there will be in a few weeks.
The field for, say, next Sunderland manager odds will look markedly different from that of the England job. As a club, Sunderland are less constrained by having to find an English manager among other details, so the names in the field will be different. Some preference may be given in terms of odds to former players who were well-liked at the club. Sunderland may step outside the usual to appoint a wildcard manager, such as when they appointed Paolo di Canio in 2013. It’s important to remember that success in betting on markets such as this are no predictor of success in the England market, as the parameters for the roles are very different.
The best England manager betting operators
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How To Find The Best Betting Odds For England Manager
Knowing what you now know about the way that betting odds shape up for a showpiece market like this, it’s a good idea to focus on what you are looking for from the various bookmakers who will be offering odds when the question comes up.
If a manager is at odds-on – so decimal odds of less than 2.00, or fractional odds of 4/5 or similar – then it is almost certain that the decision is more or less made with regard to who will take the job next. You won’t find value on that specific manager and, while others are at much longer odds, the chances they’ll get the job are next to invisible. It might be worth a small bet on an outsider in the unlikely event that negotiations fall through with the favourite, but don’t place serious money on it.
If the market is more balanced, avoid the favourite; the bookmakers will be basing their odds on which manager has been most strongly backed by bettors as well as informed speculation. As we’ve already mentioned, though, that speculation and those bets are not reinforced by anything beyond guesswork. Candidates who are a bit further back, anywhere up to about 16/1, can be where the value is. Look for bookmakers who have longer odds on second, third and fourth favourites.
There’s no specific pattern for which bookies offer the best odds – some established names still offer pretty generous odds while some newer specialists can be quite restrained – so be prepared to shop around for value.
As a new England manager tends to come around only every few years, it’s a market that takes a lot of money and you should get in early before much money is taken. The next time the FA decide a change is in order and invite the incumbent manager to vacate the hot seat, these are some of the best online bookmakers to look at.
Option 1: Paddy Power
Although an Irish bookmaker, Paddy Power have been operational in Britain since the 1990s and have picked up a reputation as a bookie that will react to betting patterns. This is great news for anyone betting on the next England manager, as it is liable to mean that one favourite will separate from the pack, offering longer odds on still credible candidates, which you may want to take advantage of if you feel like one of those candidates is in with a strong chance. When you’re looking for next England manager odds, Paddy Power are one of the first places to look; they offer more generous prices than a lot of the other bookies out there.
If you don’t already have an account with them, then it’s worth opening one just to make this bet. One of the many bonuses and incentives Paddy Power offer is your money back – up to £20 – if your first bet loses. Placing a £20 bet on any odds over 5/1 means you make three figures of profit, which are certainly winnings worth having.
Option 2: William Hill
The closest thing to royalty on the British betting scene, William Hill are one bookmaker you can rely on to know their stuff on Grand National betting and Ladbrokes Trophy wagering. Granted, you’d normally prefer a bookie who knew nothing and who you could easily fleece, but “Hills” know that keeping customers coming back requires being ready to give something in return. This is something they achieve by offering enhanced odds on a regular basis, meaning that your England manager bet could well be multiplied in value if it comes off.
As one of the most popular bookmakers in the country, William Hill will be one of the busier choices every time England are looking to replace their manager. This could serve you very well if you’ve done your homework and picked a name that hasn’t picked up the same groundswell of support. Additionally, their margins for winning bets are among the best in the business.
Option 3: Unibet
Unibet are one of the newer names on the scene, but the Swedish company has gone about building a reputation quietly. New users enjoy their wide range of sports to bet on and invaluable live bet streaming service. When it comes to next manager odds and similar bets on football markets, their prices compare very favourably with the other bookmakers running operations in Britain.
When you sign up, you won’t be offered any free bets, but they do offer a free competition on some upcoming football matches where members can answer multiple choice questions about the outcome of an upcoming match. Based on your answers, they assign points after the match and if you’re among the high scorers they’ll pay you a portion of the prize pool. So if you intend to keep betting after your England manager punt, they’re a good option to choose,
Next England manager market a potential profit maker
The next England manager market can be one of the trickier ones in which to find real value, with the rarity of changes in manager and the extreme unlikelihood of any real outsider getting the job. However, there are definitely opportunities to turn a profit if you have decent judgement and are prepared to back it with educated bets. As long as you keep in mind the principles of the market, patterns of betting when it arises, and the historical hiring pattern of the English FA, there’s no reason why betting on next England manager markets shouldn’t be for you.