Arsenal vs Chelsea – Betting Tips & Predictions – 19/01

Last updated & checked: 10/08/2021


There can be little doubt that both of these teams are amongst the best that English football has to offer, and indeed, they are two with the finest records in the Premier League. However, time is running out for both of these former champions to break into the top three, with Manchester City and Liverpool starting to fall off into the distance. Not only that but they’ve also suffered recent losses, with Chelsea losing to Tottenham 1-0 outside the league and Arsenal falling to West Ham in a shocking upset.

However, both know that a win here could signal a huge shift in momentum and – we’re sure they hope – give their season the second half boost they each crave.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction: Arsenal 0-1 Chelsea

This is undoubtedly one of the toughest fixtures in the league. Nonetheless, Chelsea are a solid six points ahead of Arsenal. We believe that gap is representative of a slightly superior season for Chelsea, not just in terms of points but performance as well. We think that, coupled with the recent loss to West Ham, will have Arsenal desperate to prove themselves, while Chelsea can afford to be patient and reserved. That could prove enough to net them the victory here.

As Chelsea’s position can allow them some breathing room to tackle this methodically though, we don’t expect a high scoring finish, leaving us with a predicted final scoreline of 1-0 to to the away side.

Our recommended tip: Chelsea win to nil

We’ve already mentioned that Chelsea are one position and six points ahead of their opponents in the Premier League standings, and this is reflected in the odds. Chelsea comes into the contest with a 41% win probability, just nudging ahead of Arsenal’s 32%. Paddy Power are giving the home team match odds of 15/8 compared to 13/10 for the away side. However, we are predicting a final scoreline of 0-1 and punters wanting to go higher risk while still backing the favourites could enjoy a higher potential ROI, as the bookmaker is offering 7/2 odds that Chelsea win to nil.

Previous matches

It’s no surprise that these two Premier League giants have a long and storied history, and equally unlikely to shock is the fact that neither has really managed to sustain a serious advantage over the other. Their modern games have seen them trade wins and losses. Chelsea walked away with a 3-2 victory last time around but Arsenal bested them 2-1 before that and, looking further back, they had a trio of draws.

For the most part, that’s the story here: Arsenal has the overall statistical advantage by a small percentage but it’s nothing hugely significant. All this does is just reiterate how closely matched these two really are.

Top 3 Premier League Bookies

Players to watch: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang & Pedro

Arsenal: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

While it would certainly be interesting to see some up-and-coming talent showcase their abilities against a team of the calibre of Chelsea – in the similar vein as we saw with Joseph Willock against Blackpool – the most likely difference makers are those who know how to perform in big match situations against top teams. For Arsenal, that man is their premier (no pun intended ) goalscorer Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who likely has itchy feet after going a couple of games without a goal.

Chelsea: Pedro

We were once again reminded of the brilliance of Pedro in their recent match against Newcastle. He showcased yet again the calibre of player he is, as well as how well he and his teammates can synch together when he took advantage of a perfect through ball by David Luiz to loft the goal to the back of the net. An explosive player capable of scoring at any point in the game, he’s the exact kind of wildcard Chelsea will want against a team with the capabilities of Arsenal.

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