Burnley vs Watford – Betting Tips & Predictions – 19-08

Last updated & checked: 10/08/2021


Even though we are only in August, Burnley have already had a very busy schedule as they embark on their first European campaign in over 50 years. It’s been so far, so good for the Clarets on that front after defeating both Aberdeen and Istanbul Baseksehir, but the focus will now switch back to the Premier League as they prepare to face Watford this afternoon.

Sean Dyche’s men secured a decent point in their opening game against Southampton, displaying the defensive qualities that we have become accustomed to from his side in the past few years. However, they will have to approach the clash against the Hornets with a more positive attitude on their home pitch.

Watford head into the game after a comfortable win against Brighton on the opening day, impressing with a confident display, with Roberto Pereyra scoring two goals. Javi Gracia will want his side to build on that but it will be a tough game against a physical Burnley side that. Given that, it promises to be a decent game as both sides will approach the fixture looking to secure all three points.

Burnley vs Watford Prediction: Burnley 1-1 Watford

We all know that playing in the Europa League can be detrimental to a clubs league form and Burnley will be desperate to ensure they don’t suffer a hangover. They played a gruelling 120 minutes on Thursday and there’s no doubt that it will have taken a lot out of the players, whereas Watford have had all week to work on a game plan and concentrate entirely on how they will approach the game at Turf Moor. In fairness, Dyche did rotate his squad against the Turkish side but there’s no doubt that many players will feature again today.

Given that, we think it will be a close game, with little to separate the sides. Watford should have the physicality in their defence to cope with Burnley’s direct style but the Clarets are excellent on their home turf. They will make it hard for Watford to play, will press them and can cause them trouble, although the Hornets have an unpredictability in the final third that could see them come away with what woud be a very decent point.

Our recommended tip: Under 2.5 goals

However, the safest bet for punters is probably opposing goals. As mentioned, Burnley are a very good side defensively. Dyche has them very well-drilled, every player knows their roles and they are hard to get past. Additionally, they have several quality individuals at the back too!

Despite their excellent season in the previous campaign, Burnley’s success was built on being solid at the back and they didn’t score goals regularly at all. When you combine that with Watford, who have struggled for goals on the road too, then it should be a low-scoring affair.

Previous matches

This will be the 42nd meeting between the two sides, although it’s not been a regular top-flight fixture. In fact, it’s only the sixth encounter between the sides at the highest level with the clubs spending a lot of time in the lower leagues over the decades.

And, it’s Burnley who have had the better of this game historically, winning 19 of the previous games, with Watford emerging victorious on 12 occasions. Furthermore, the Clarets have a strong record against Watford on their own patch and they head into this game unbeaten in the last ten against the Hornets at Turf Moor. The last win for the visitors in Lancashire came way back in 2004.

As for recent games, Burnley head into this game on the back of a goalless draw with Southampton and they have drawn all four Europa League games they’ve played in 90 minutes, both home and away against Aberdeen and Istanbul Baseksehir. However, they progressed on both occasions in extra time in their home leg. Meanwhile, Watford’s comfortable 2-0 win against Brighton was their first game of the season.

Top 3 Premier League Bookies

Players to watch: Chris Wood & Roberto Pereyra

Burnley’s big-money signing from 12 months ago enjoyed a very good first campaign with the club even if he struggled with injuries more than he would’ve liked. Wood is a very good player and has many strengths to his game, notably his power and strength. He will look to sniff out chances with that power and is a major threat in the air which will mean Watford have to stop crosses coming in. As well as that though, Wood is pivotal to the way that Burnley play. He will be the lone striker and will have a lot of long balls to deal with. The former Leeds man will need to hold the ball up, bring others into play and provide the midfield runners with quality balls.

Meanwhile, it’s easy to identify who is the key man for Gracia’s men. Pereyra was the matchwinner last week and will want to deliver another big performance for his team. The former Juventus man is supremely talented but it hasn’t really clicked for him since making the move to England as he struggles for consistency. He will start from the left at Turf Moor but will look to move centrally at times and could be hard to pick up if he has a freedom to roam. The ability is unquestionable and if the Argentinian can find a consistency then Watford have a real quality player on their hands and one that can be decisive in games like this.

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