Chelsea vs Burnley – Betting Tips & Predictions – 22-04

Last updated & checked: 10/08/2021


Chelsea sit in fifth place in the Premier League: exactly the position they finished up in last time around. Unfortunately for Burnley, a rather unremarkable season for Chelsea is still better than most, as we’ve seen from their recent victories over the likes of Tottenham and West Ham. That’s not to to mention their success in the Europa League.

Burnley, on the other hand, have struggled through much of the season. But they do have reason to be optimistic considering their trio of victories over Cardiff, Bournemouth and even Wolves – a team Chelsea failed to topple at the start of March. Can this momentum steamroll over the five time Premier League champions? Or will Chelsea avenge their recent loss to Liverpool by making an example of Burnley here? There’s only one way to find out.

Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction: Chelsea 2-0 Burnley

While Burnley’s recent success has made this game more interesting, it’s not enough for us to think that an upset away victory is the most likely outcome here. Chelsea have shown quality with a consistency that Burnley have simply not come close to matching. Not only that but with Chelsea now gunning for one of the Champions League qualifier spots – not to mention the home advantage –, they also have the edge in terms of motivation. So, with that in mind, our scoreline prediction for this contest is 2-0 to the home team.

Our recommended tip: Chelsea win to nil

Currently sitting 10 places and 27 points ahead of their upcoming opponents in the Premier League standings, it’s no surprise that the home side hold the advantage here. They come into this contest with a significant 75% win probability to Burnley’s 8%. Therefore, for your best chance of winning your wager, you should back the favourites to victory here. However, considering Chelsea have won their three most recent wins with a clean sheet, we recommend that you bet on them winning to nil to get low-risk 1/1 odds and a higher potential ROI.

Previous matches

The previous meetings between these two sides actually sees them neck-and-neck for the majority of their history, which stretches back for over a century. However, more modern times tell quite a different story, much to the misfortune of Burnley. In the last decade, Chelsea have only lost a single game to Burnley. That came in an action-packed 3-2 encounter from 2017. Other than that though, Chelsea have dominated. And their most conclusive victory over this period is also the most recent, as Burnley were bested 4-0 in October of last year. History certainly seems to be favouring the home team.

Top 3 Premier League Bookies

Players to watch: Eden Hazard & Charlie Taylor

Chelsea: Eden Hazard

The news surrounding Eden Hazard might be majoritively transfer related as of late but for now, he remains one of Chelsea’s most deadly weapons. An absolute wizard on the pitch, he’s been enjoying his finest season yet. His ability to utterly devastate lesser defences has made him the different maker in countless conquests. In fact, Hazard has been responsible for almost half of Chelsea’s goals this Premier League season. That fact alone makes him the one to watch.

Burnley: Charlie Taylor

The Clarets will no doubt have an incredibly tough time fending off the Chelsea offence, with Charlie Taylor likely having a starring role in that particular battle. He was terrific against Cardiff in Burnley’s last outing. And although the challenge here is very different, he’s been consistently improving since moving to the Premier League and has held his own against some of the finest players in the world. We expect him to continue to rise to the challenge again here.

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