Millwall vs Brighton – Betting Tips & Predictions – 17-03

Last updated & checked: 10/08/2021

Millwall, currently fighting against relegation in the Championship, welcome Premier League outfit Brighton & Hove Albion to The Den on Sunday afternoon for an FA Cup sixth round tie. With a place in the semi-finals at stake, the pressure is all on the top tier team, especially given Millwall’s fine recent record in the FA Cup. The Lions have reached their third FA Cup quarter-final in seven years, which is more than any other side from outside the Premier League in that time.
Brighton have made it to the last eight of the Cup for the second successive season, but for just the fourth time in their history. Their only win in this round came in 1983, when they beat Norwich City at the Goldstone Ground, thanks to a goal from Jimmy Case. That season, they would reach the final, where they would lose to Manchester United in a replay.

Millwall vs Brighton Prediction: Millwall 1-1 Seagulls

The last eight games between these sides, which have all been in the Championship, have seen five draws, as well as two Seagulls wins and one for the Lions. Brighton are unbeaten in their last six games at The Den, with their last defeat there coming on Boxing Day, 2007, when they were beaten 3-0. Millwall have lost just one of their last 15 home games in the FA Cup, and also have a good record against Premier League sides in the competition, having won their last five home FA Cup games against top-tier sides. Our prediction for this game is that it will end 1-1.

Our recommended tip: Draw, both score

Our featured tip for this game comes from Betway, who are offering odds of 100/30 on the game ending in a draw with both sides scoring. This bet matches our prediction of a 1-1 final score, but also gives you a little bit of flexibility when it comes to the precise scoreline at the end of the game. Millwall have a great record in the Cup in recent years, and always seem to do well against Premier League opponents at The Den. We think that the Seagulls may score first, but they will find themselves unable to hang onto that lead.

Previous matches

These two sides have played each other on a total of 100 previous occasions in competitive games. Millwall have won 37 times, Wolves have won 39 times and there have been 24 draws. The only previous FA Cup meeting was in 1956. Millwall won a first-round replay 3-1 after the first game at Brighton’s Goldstone Ground was drawn 1-1.
The most recent meetings between the teams came in the 2014/15 season, when they were both in the Championship. Millwall won the game at Brighton 1-0, while the second meeting, at The Den, was drawn 0-0.

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Players to watch: Jordan Archer & Glenn Murray

If Millwall are to beat Premier League opposition once again in the FA Cup goalkeeper Jordan Archer will need to play well. Archer has kept seven clean sheets in 27 games in all competitions this season, and has conceded 33 goals in those games. He has a good chance of being Scotland’s first-choice keeper in their upcoming internationals against Kazakhstan and San Marino, so will want a good game against Brighton to give boost his confidence.

Brighton’s 35-year-old striker Glenn Murray is just the man to break open a tight FA Cup tie with a vital goal. The veteran remains a deadly player for the Seagulls, despite lacking any kind of pace. His eye for a goal remains deadly, and he has scored 13 goals in 31 appearances in all competitions in 2018/19, with 11 of those goals coming in the Premier League. He could be crucial to his team’s hopes of reaching the semi-final.

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