Newcastle United vs Liverpool – Betting Tips & Predictions – 04/05

Last updated & checked: 10/08/2021


It’s hard to know how, if at all, Liverpool’s disastrous Champions League loss to Barcelona will affect their performance in this Premier League outing. It could damage their confidence and wear them down. However, it could just as easily light a fire beneath them and see them head into this match seeking to reaffirm their dominance.

Regardless, Newcastle United will have a mountain to climb here. Even recent victories over Southampton and Leicester don’t do much to make the gulf between them in the standings seem any less overwhelming. Not only that but back in the Premier League, Liverpool have been on incredible form so far this year. You only have to look at their most recent 5-0 victory over Huddersfield to see just how dominant they can be.

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Prediction: Newcastle 0-2 Liverpool

Don’t let their recent disappointment in the Champions League fool you: Liverpool remain one of the best in the world. Newcastle will have to find another gear to pull off the shock win here. To put things into perspective, Liverpool haven’t lost in the Premier League since the 3rd January. Plus, they’ll have all the motivation in the world considering their neck-and-neck race for the top spot against Manchester City. The recent improvements we’ve seen from Newcastle shouldn’t be overlooked, however, we simply don’t think it will be enough to overcome a driven, possibly vengeful, Liverpool side. With that in mind, our scoreline prediction is 2-0 win to Liverpool.

Our recommended tip: Liverpool win to nil

Sitting in a close second place in the Premier League standings – 11 places and 49 points ahead of their opponents – it’s no surprise that Liverpool are the favourites here. They come into this contest with a huge 71% win probability to Newcastle’s 10%. Therefore, it makes sense to back the home side to victory here. However, considering that four of their last five wins have been to nil, we recommend that you predict Liverpool will do the same here to get a higher potential ROI. Ladbrokes have low-risk 6/5 odds on this result.

Previous matches

Liverpool’s historical advantage in head-to-head contests is actually most pronounced in their last two encounters, which took place in 2018. Not only did the Reds defeat Newcastle back-to-back, each time in the Premier League, but they did so with a clean sheet. They won 2-0 in March and 4-0 as recently as December. Things do get much more competitive before that though. In 2017 and 2016, there were a duo of draws between them and United actually picked up a 2-0 win of their own in 2015. However, those most recent matches are too overwhelming for their past encounters to point to anything other than a Liverpool victory here.

Top 3 Premier League Bookies

Players to watch: Ayoze Pérez & Sadio Mané

Newcastle United: Ayoze Pérez

When you’re against a team like Liverpool – who can be so overwhelming in dominating the match and cutting off chances –, you need someone who can break through barriers and expose their vulnerabilities. For Newcastle, there’s no one better qualified than Ayoze Pérez. He became their first player to score a hat-trick since December 2016 with his show-stealing performance against Southampton, and also scored against Brighton in the follow-up. Hopefully, he’ll be fit enough to start the game to have the greatest impact.

Liverpool: Sadio Mané

Fans may be furious with Sadio Mané for not appealing for a penalty in their loss to Barcelona but we’re sure that another excellent performance here will help supporters forgive the forward for his unwavering honesty. He was the stand out amongst all stand outs in their last Premier League contest: their mauling of the ailing Huddersfield side. A similar outing here could see Newcastle have a very difficult weekend.

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