Euro 2020 Tips: Best bets for the Golden Boot after Matchday One

Published on: June 16, 2021
Author: Brett Curtis
Belgium’s Romelu Lukaku has stormed ahead to become the favourite in the football betting for the Golden Boot after bagging a brace in his side’s 3-0 win over Russia on Saturday.

Betway Insider picked Lukaku out as their pre-tournament favourite last week, citing the 28-year-old’s goalscoring prowess and a favourable group for The Red Devils as two excellent reasons to back the Inter Milan striker in the Euro 2020 Golden Boot market.

Many may feel they have missed the boat given that Lukaku’s odds have now shortened to 5/2, but there is still plenty of value there with fixtures against Denmark and Finland still to come for him across the next week.

Should they top the group as expected, Roberto Martinez’s side have a potentially manageable route in the knockout stages, too, with a second consecutive semi-final at a major tournament the minimum target for Belgium’s Golden Generation.

It is still early days, of course, but Lukaku’s main rival for the Euro 2020 top goalscorer gong could well be Cristiano Ronaldo, who perhaps felt aggrieved after failing to receive a single mention in Betway Insider’s aforementioned breakdown of the Golden Boot market last week.

The 36-year-old responded by overtaking Michel Platini as the highest goalscorer in European Championship history after leaving it late to score twice in Portugal’s 3-0 win against Hungary on Tuesday, joining Lukaku and Czech Republic’s Patrik Schick on two goals from the opening round of Euro 2020 fixtures.

The legendary forward’s odds have understandably shortened to 9/2 as a result, but it is worth bearing in mind that A Selecao have much tougher matches against France and Germany still to come in Group F.

While the five-time Ballon d’Or winner is clearly capable of scoring against any team in the world, there is also no guarantee that the holders will progress to the latter stages once again with a potential last-16 tie against England waiting in the wings. It’s coming home, remember!

Perhaps the strongest team performance of the first round of fixtures was from Italy on a memorable opening night in Rome, as Roberto Mancini’s romped to an impressive 3-0 win against Turkey, who were many people’s dark horses heading into the tournament.

The Azzurri were slick and stylish in possession, as well as typically robust and organised out of it, with Ciro Immobile getting his campaign off and running in superb style with a goal and an assist.

As Betway Insider pointed out last week, the 31-year-old would become the oldest Golden Boot winner since 1992 should he win it, but age is merely a number in my eyes. 

Immobile appears to have every chance of achieving this feat given that he has joined Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappe – who both failed to get off the mark in their opening matches – as the joint-third favourite in the football betting market at 11/1.

On Friday night’s evidence, Immobile should receive plenty of chances to add to his tally against Switzerland and Wales, with only Schick and Breel Embolo matching the Lazio striker’s tally of six shots from the opening round of fixtures. 

Mancini’s side have also moved upwards in the outright betting market into fourth position, suggesting there is every chance they can go all of the way, with Immobile undoubtedly integral to their chances of doing so.

Memphis Depay was Betway Insider’s each-way shout last week, but with the Lyon forward blanking in Netherlands’ 3-2 win against Ukraine on Sunday, how about his strike partner Wout Weghorst at a juicy 40/1 instead?

The 6ft 6in striker has earned his way into Frank de Boer’s starting XI after enjoying another brilliant season at Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga, with the 28-year-old’s 20 league strikes firing the Wolves into the Champions League for the first time in five years.

While Weghorst’s size obviously makes him a serious threat in the air, he is also deceptively quick and possesses superb technique when striking the ball with his right foot, as he displayed when doubling his side’s lead in Amsterdam at the weekend.

Oranje have home advantage on their side once again against both Austria and North Macedonia, who are the lowest-ranked country in the competition, in Group C. With the likes of Depay and Georginio Wijnaldum looking inspired around him in an offensively-minded outfit, Weghorst could prove to be a real dark horse in the Golden Boot betting market.