With their first leg clash ending in a stalemate – not to mention the fact that these are two of the best in the world and seeing either of them lose isn’t a common occurrence –, they don’t get much closer than Bayern Munich vs Liverpool. Even their respective journeys in the Bundesliga and Premier League have been similar, with both battling it out with one key rival for overall victory.
It’s fair to say though that Bayern Munich come into this match with a touch more momentum, following huge 6-0 and 5-1 victories over Wolfsburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Liverpool also impressed against Burnley, even seeing the rise of a potential new star in Adam Lallana. But we have to give the edge in recent performances to the home team. However, Liverpool have, in our opinion, had the better overall season.
Bayern Munich vs Liverpool Prediction: Bayern 1-0 Liverpool
Truly this match is on a knife-edge. It’s as close to a coin flip as you’re ever likely to get. However, we do think one team has a slightly better chance and that’s Bayern Munich.
Ultimately, this comes down to down to recent performances. While Liverpool have not lost in 10 matches, they have drawn just as often as they have won. We think that inability to pull the trigger as of late will cost them here. And we expect Bayern Munich will just about have the killer instinct to get one past Liverpool and then have the skill to keep them at bay. That means our scoreline prediction is 1-0 to the home team.
Our recommended tip: Bayern Munich win
While Liverpool have certainly impressed in the Premier League – engaging in a hard-fought battle with Manchester City for that coveted top spot – the odds still favour Bayern Munich for this one. Currently in first place of the Bundesliga, the home side come into this contest with a 46% win probability to Liverpool’s 27%, with a draw being just as likely as an away win. Therefore, for your best chance of winning your wager and earning a ROI, we recommend that you back the favourites. You’ll find low-risk 21/20 match odds on the German side at Betfair.
Their first leg match would usually be the place to look for clues as to what to expect here. However, it only reinforces what we already know and that’s the fact that these two are so evenly-matched. If we had to choose though, we’d say that Liverpool looked slightly better overall.
Before that, their last meeting was in 2001. This saw Liverpool best Bayern Munich 3-2 in the UEFA Super Cup. Amazingly, you have to go all the way back to 1971 for the last and only time Bayern Munich beat Liverpool, with a 3-1 result. Although, considering the gaps between games – and that the most common result by far is a draw – that’s not nearly as bad as it sounds.
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Players to watch: Mats Hummels & Mohamed Salah
Bayern Munich: Mats Hummels
Goalscorers generally get the nod when it comes to players to watch, as they are the most obvious difference makers. However, we think just as important – and perhaps even more crucial if we see a similar outing as the first leg – will be Bayern Munich’s ability to stave off a rabid Liverpool attack. Mats Humels was the stand out player in our book last time around for his success in doing exactly that, completing six clearances.
Liverpool: Mohamed Salah
We certainly don’t want to underestimate the attacking prowess of Bayern Munich. After all, no team with Robert Lewandowski could be viewed as lacking in that department. But based on their last outing, we think Liverpool will likely be the more aggressive side here. In that kind of game, the key to victory often lands in the hands of someone like Mohamed Salah, who – alongside Sadio Mané – likely represents Liverpool’s best opportunity for victory.