Lille v Paris Saint Germain – Betting Tips & Predictions – 14-04

Last updated & tested: 2019-04-17

Football
Sunday, April 14. 2019 - 8:00 pmStade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
VS
Our Betting Tip
PSG win and BTTS
Odds
9/4

 
Paris Saint Germain can seal the Ligue 1 title on Sunday if they avoid defeat at Lille, who are 20 points behind Thomas Thuchel’s team in second place. PSG were expected to seal the title last weekend against Strasbourg, but instead needed an 82nd minute equaliser from Thilo Kehrer to save them from a first home defeat of the season, as the game ended 2-2. PSG’s Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting produced one of the worst misses in the history of football during the game too.

Lille head into the game on the back of a 1-1 draw away at Reims last weekend. The club from the Hauts-de-France won 3-2 away at Nantes the week before that, and a 1-0 defeat at home to Monaco preceded that victory, so inconsistency has been an issue for Christophe Galtier’s side in recent weeks.

Lille v Paris Saint Germain Prediction: Lille 1-2 PSG

PSG seem to be in that strange situation where a team is on the verge of claiming a league title, but for some reason cannot quite complete the task. Last week against Strasbourg, the Parisians almost tumbled to their first home defeat of the season, with players missing very easy scoring chances too. It is almost impossible for PSG to not win Ligue 1 now, so it will be interesting to see if they manage to seal the title this weekend. We think they will by beating Lille 2-1, though it will not be a straightforward game for the champions-elect.


Our Betting Tip
PSG win and BTTS
Odds
9/4

Our recommended tip: PSG, both score

Our featured tip for this game comes from Betway, who are offering odds of 9/4 on PSG to win and both teams to score. We think that this is a good bet as both teams have looked vulnerable in defence in recent weeks. PSG should manage to win in the end, but we suspect that they may have to huff and puff their way to a narrow victory, rather than repeat their indomitable form of much of the season. The odds of 9/4 offer reasonable value to astute punters, and the bet also gives you some flexibility when it comes to the precise final scoreline.

Previous matches

These two sides have met on 31 previous occasions in Ligue 1. Of those games, PSG have won eight and Lille have won 23. There have been 10 draws. Of course, PSG have not always been the supremely wealthy force that they are nowadays.
The two sides have met on one previous occasion this season. That was on November 2 in Paris for a Ligue 1 clash. PSG emerged as 2-1 winners on the evening, with goals coming from Kylian Mbappe and Neymar. Nicolas Pepe scored from the penalty spot for Lille in injury time at the end of the game.

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Players to watch: Jonathan Bamba & Kylian MBappe

Lille striker Jonathan Bamba is his club’s top scorer at home this season. He has struck eight Ligue 1 goals on his team’s home ground, and has scored 10 in total from his 31 league matches in 2018/19. He also has one French Cup goal to his name in the current campaign. Bamba has scored 20% of his team’s league goals this season so PSG will need to keep a close eye on him on Sunday.

French World Cup-winning striker Kylian Mbappe is his team’s top scorer away from home in Ligue 1 in 2018/19. The 20-year-old has hit 11 goals away from Paris this season, and has scored 27 goals in 25 Ligue 1 games in total, an incredible record. He has scored 30% of his team’s total league goals during this campaign, and has also weighed in with five assists, one of which has been away from home.

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