The Goal Line Bet Explained: How To Turn Goals Into Cash
Last updated & tested: 2019-08-31
If you need the goal line bet explained, in short, it’s betting on the likelihood the match you’re watching will be one of those breathless, goal-filled thrillers.
Or will it be a tight, dour occasion which won’t receive much of a write-up in the paper beyond a rueful press reporter stating that “from beginning to end, defences were on top and chances at a premium”?
So here’s a look at goal-line bets that is part of our football betting guide.
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What Is A Goal Line Bet?
Most decent Premier League betting sites will include goal-line bets. To avoid confusion, the goal line bet example cases below have precious little to do with the goal line on the pitch. A “line” in betting refers to the sort of bet which concerns two possible outcomes — such as “Will Team A win the league?” or “Will Player X score twenty goals this season?” The line is between “Yes” and “No” outcomes.
For goal line betting, then, the bet concerns how many goals will be scored in a game. What does over 1 goal line mean? In short, it means that two or more goals will be scored in the game; although as we’ll see later, an over 1 goal meaning a small return for your bet makes it a less popular market for bettors.
However, of course the sides of the goal line bet explained in that case would be “more than five goals” or “fewer than five goals”. This leaves a big question mark over what would happen to payouts if the game ended 3-2 – with exactly five goals scored, what happens then? If the game has an over 2.0 goal line meaning that at least two goals must be scored, what happens if it finishes 1-1, or 2-0?
For this reason, goal line bets tend to centre on whether there will be more or fewer than 2.5, or 3.5 goals. As there can be no such thing as half a goal, there will always be either more, or fewer, than that total.
Given that, statistically, the vast majority of games have 3 goals or fewer, you’re unlikely to see a goal line bet example on “more/fewer” than anything over 3.5. That doesn’t mean you can’t make a bet on that, but you may need to contact the bookmaker and ask them to quote you specific odds before you can make that bet.
When You Would Make A Goal Line Bet
Some teams have a reputation for a powerful attack that almost always scores at least twice in a game, and there can be real value in a correct score bet when the score gets higher than 2-0 or 2-1. However, correct score betting is always in the lap of the gods to some extent.
We’ve all seen the games where a team is leading by two goals, and are keeping their opponents’ late, desperate attacks at bay. One ricochet, one counter attack, one goalkeeper coming up for a corner and a clever 3-1 correct score bet is ruined by a cheap fourth goal for the winning team.
Alternatively, those great entertainers may be leading 3-0 and looking for more to build up their goal difference. As you’ve backed them to win 4-0, you’re roaring them on to go for the kill. With the match won, their concentration can slip and they let the opposition in for a consolation goal.
With an over/under goal line bet explained above, you don’t need to worry too much about the late, coupon-busting goals that happen so often in football. If you’ve bet on there being more than a certain number of goals in the game, then a rogue last-minute counter-attack can even be the thing that wins you the bet in this goal line bet example.
Covering Your Bet: The Asian Handicap Half Bet
Of course, just as late goals can ruin a correct score bet, there are occasions when they can take down a goal line bet, too. If you’ve bet for there to be fewer than 2.5 goals in a game, and a late goal takes it from 2-0 to 2-1 then this can leave you high and dry. This is why the Asian Handicap, a form of goal line betting that allows you to cover two outcomes with one bet. This type of bet is often referred to as “alternative goals”, meaning that you have two chances to win with one bet
In this goal line bet example, you could place a half bet where one half was for there to be fewer than 2.5 goals, and the other half for fewer than 3.5. If you placed £10 on the handicap overall, then £5 would go on the first eventuality (2.5), and £5 on the safety bet (3.5). If there are just two goals, then you have the payout for the full bet; if there are three, the payout is only available (with the lower stake) on the higher goal total.
Occasionally you may see an alternative goal line over 1.0, 1.5 meaning you’ll get some payout if there is just one goal, but a full payout will require a second goal to be scored. You’re unlikely to get long odds on this, unless you’re betting in play and the game is relatively close to being over.
And don’t forget that using an unusual wager like a corner bet is another fun way to boost your football betting knowhow.
How To Choose A Goal Line Bet: Example
If you want to make a goal line bet, the first thing to do is check with the different bookmakers you are signed up to, and see what their over/under is (ie. the number of goals they have set the line at).
If you feel like there will be a lot of goals, look for a market being which sets the over/under at 3.5 or, if possible, 4.5. The higher the goals total, the longer the odds are likely to be; if you’re confident of a goal-fest, bet on the higher total.
Equally, if a match is upcoming between two teams whose strikers have been struggling to hit a barn door at six paces, look for an over/under of 2.5 or lower if possible. 1-0 is actually the most common score in all of football, so if you can find an over/under of 1.5, take it.
When betting online, make use of the live streaming and early cash-out opportunities to make sure your bet doesn’t go wrong. If you’ve gone for a low score, and it’s currently 1-0 or similar late on, keep an eye on the game. If it suddenly opens up due to one team chasing a goal, you might want to cash out just in case a late goal ruins things.
If you’re looking for a speculative bet, it’s worth knowing a few things about more obscure leagues. Of the European countries, Russia’s top league has the stingiest goal totals with about 43% of games featuring fewer than 2 goals.
On the other hand, about 40% of games in Turkey and Austria’s top divisions frequently number goals at four or more. From a one-sided 4-0 result to a thrilling 2-2 draw, those leagues are the ones to watch. This can help you pick a tempting over/under.
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When The Over/Under Is A Whole Number
With some bookies, the over/under for a goal line bet may be a whole number. The basic principle of your bet remains the same – if the bookmaker has set the goal line at 3, you must decide whether you believe there will be more, or fewer, than three goals. This type of goal line bet example is admittedly rare, but different bookmakers have different practices.
Say that you decide there will be more – it’s an Austrian Bundesliga game between two goal-happy teams and you expect at least four goals. If you choose the “over” option, you’ll get a payout if there are four or more. If the sides cancel each other out and it ends 1-1, you lose and forfeit your stake. If, however, there are exactly three goals scored, you won’t win anything but you will get your stake back.
Here is one of the many football betting tips for you: given the frequency with which top teams meet in pivotal, table-topping clashes and fight their way to an honourable 1-1 result, you may be well-advised to look out for an over 2.0 goal line, meaning that if they finish 1-1 again, you lose nothing. If anyone wins 2-1 or above, you’ll win something and, given that the top teams have a tendency to find a goal from somewhere, even against tough defences, this is a worthwhile bet to make.
Do Goal Line Bets Just Apply To Football?
Goal line bets are intrinsically associated with football, but in reality can be made in most sports where goals are scored; ice hockey, handball and GAA sports among others. They are less prevalent with bookmakers, and you may have to shop around to find the best odds, but they do exist, and the principle remains the same.
The same concept may also be found in sports such as rugby, where you can find odds on total tries in a game, and in most sports where the aim of the game is to score the most points. Sports betting has evolved to the point where if a sport has enough mass appeal for people to want to bet on it, then Betway will include plenty of markets to accompany the football betting promotions on offer.
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So that’s the goal line bet explained are an increasingly popular way to bet on football and other sports, as they allow a bettor to back their hunch that there will be a wealth, or a dearth of goals in a game without the jeopardy of betting on a correct score when doing so is at the mercy of so many random factors. Most of us will agree we can be confident that a game will have a few goals in it, but guessing who will get them and when is more a matter of luck; and while that’s fun, it helps when you feel like you have an aspect of control.